The European Union Delegation issues the following statement in agreement with the EU Heads of Mission in Tajikistan. Читать далее Local Statement on the recent arrest of Abdurakhim Shukurov
U.S. Disappointed With Russia’s Denial Of Journalist’s Visa
The U.S. State Department says it is «disappointed» that U.S. journalist and RFE/RL adviser David Satter has been denied a visa by Russian authorities.
U.S. State Department spokeswoman Marie Harf said on January 14 that «hindering the free flow of information undermines… free debate and discussion.»
U.S. Representative Eliot Engel (Democrat-New York), a member of the House Foreign Affairs Committee, said the visa denial was «another blow to freedom of the press and independent journalism in Russia.»
Russia’s Foreign Ministry issued a statement on January 14 saying Satter had «grossly violated» the country’s visa-entry rules by staying in Russia on an expired visa. It said Satter has been banned from entering Russia for five years.
Satter told RFE/RL that «this is a problem of their own making. And they have created it intentionally to cover up the real reasons behind their actions.»
Satter, who left Russia for Ukraine at the start of December, reapplied for a Russian visa in Kyiv.
He said he received notification in December that his visa request was approved — including an official notification number from the Russian Foreign Ministry — but was told later by a Russian Embassy official in Kyiv that his presence in Russia was considered «undesirable.»
«The question about the reasons why [I have been denied visa to Russia] has to be addressed to them, not me — they know their reasons far better than I do,» Satter said.
Satter had been living in Russia since September 2013 and working as an adviser to RFE/RL’s Russian Service.
RFE/RL President Kevin Klose said «the company and Mr. Satter acted in good faith at all times to conform to all instructions conveyed from the Russian Foreign Ministry regarding Mr. Satter’s visa application.»
http://www.rferl.org/content/russia-satter-visa-rejection/25229610.html
Moscow Expels RFE/RL Adviser
Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty’s President Kevin Klose says the Russian government has denied a visa request to David Satter — a distinguished U.S. journalist and adviser to RFE/RL.
Klose said in a statement on January 13 that the U.S. Embassy in Moscow has been informed of the action against Satter and has lodged a formal diplomatic protest with the Russian Foreign Ministry.
Klose says the U.S. Embassy has sought an explanation from the Russian Foreign Ministry without success.
Satter had been living and working in Russia as an RFE/RL adviser since September 2013.
He had been reporting and providing commentary to RFE/RL’s Russian Service.
He had also been providing interviews and analysis to other news and opinion websites.
Satter received notification in December that his visa request was approved – including an official notification number from the Russian Foreign Ministry.
He’d been told to present that number to the Russian Embassy in Kyiv.
But Satter says he was told later by a Russian Embassy official in the Ukrainian capital that his presence in Russia was considered “undesirable” and his visa request had been rejected.
Klose said he considers the use of the term «undesirable» by the Russian official to be the equivalent of declaring Satter «persona non grata» in Russia.
http://www.rferl.org/content/rferl-satter-russia-visa/25229041.html
Dushanbe Mayor Bans ‘Nontraditional’ Music On Public Transport
DUSHANBE — The mayor of the Tajik capital, Dushanbe, has banned music in the city’s public transportation system that is «alien to national and universal human values.»
The mayor’s office announced on January 10 that, according to a resolution signed by Makhmadsaid Ubaidulloev, special raids will be regularly held to monitor the usage of music.
The campaign will be conducted jointly by the Interior Ministry and the Ministry of Culture.
Tajik authorities have been raising the issue of using music on public transport for months.
Concerns were expressed regarding songs glorifying the criminal world, songs with sexual content, and music that propagates «non-traditional Islam.»
A telephone hotline has already been established for complaints by passengers.
http://www.rferl.org/content/dushanbe-mayor-nontraditional-music-ban/25226122.html
Russian Dissident Journalist Gets Suspended Jail Term, Banned From Work
YEKATERINBURG, Russia — A Russian court in Yekaterinburg has imposed a 24-month work ban on a prominent journalist after finding her guilty of extortion.
Aksana Panova, founder and former editor of the independent news website Ura.ru, was found guilty of extortion in two instances and given a suspended two-year jail sentence.
Panova’s supporters have argued that the charges were fabricated in retribution for her critical reporting on local government.
She had originally faced charges of fraud, extortion, and abuse of office that could have landed her in prison for up to 15 years.
However, on January 9 the court dropped the fraud and abuse charges.
Panova was also fined 400,000 rubles ($12,000).
Her lawyers said the decision was an attempt to silence Panova and added they would file an appeal.
http://www.rferl.org/content/russia-journalist-banned-work/25225256.html
Amnesty Denied To 61-Year-Old Uzbek Rights Activist
Ajailed 61-year-old Uzbek rights activist has been denied his freedom, despite a recently passed amnesty law.
A court in Uzbekistan’s southwestern Bukhara region on December 27 upheld a decision by the General Directorate for Penitentiaries that the amnesty not be applied to Bobomurod Razzoqov.
A representative for the Ezgulik (Compassion) human rights group, Abdurakhmon Tashanov, told RFE/RL that the amnesty for Razzoqov was denied due to alleged violations of penitentiary regulations.
An amnesty adopted this month stipulated that inmates 60 years of age or older were eligible for early release.
Razzoqov, the chairman of Ezgulik’s Bukhara branch, was sentenced to four years in jail in September on charges of human trafficking.
Human Rights Watch issued a statement in September calling the charges against Razzoqov «retaliation» by Uzbek authorities for his human rights work.
Father Frost, Snow Maiden Iced Out Of Tajik New Year’s Celebrations
December 31, 2013
Father Frost and Snow Maiden, the iconic symbols of New Year’s in Tajikistan and other former Soviet countries, have been barred from appearing on state television.
«Father Frost bears no relation to our national traditions,» deputy head of the state Committee for Television and Radio Saidali Siddiqov said in explaining the decision. This holiday season, he added, television programs would focus on traditional Tajik merrymaking like «music, dance, songs, public celebrations, and exchanging festive greetings.»
The official stressed that «nothing is wrong with Father Frost, Snow Maiden, and fir trees,» adding that «everybody else in Tajikistan’s secular society is free to mark the festivities as they choose.»
Apparently that does not include public schools in the capital, Dushanbe.
Mavjuda Jabborova, deputy headmistress at School No. 10 there, tells RFE/RL’s Tajik Service that traditional New Year’s parties have been canceled and the school will not put up a New Year’s tree this year.
«We have instructions not to mark New Year at school,» Jabborova said.
Education Ministry spokesman Mahmudkhon Shoev said no orders ending New Year’s celebrations have been issued. But he did say that big parties and the use of celebratory fireworks are discouraged on school premises.
«The reason is to not disrupt lessons,» Shoev said. «Also, it’s a safety measure — to prevent fires, for instance.»
Zamira, a 15-year-old student at School No. 10, is disappointed with the decision.
«We really wanted a party at school with a New Year tree, Father Frost, and music,» Zamira said. «Well, this year we’ll celebrate at home because it’s no longer allowed at school.»
Predominantly Muslim Tajikistan inherited the Soviet Union’s New Year’s traditions, and celebrations have continued despite some criticism by religious figures.
«It’s not my festival and I do not mark it,» said Dushanbe-based journalist Muhibullo Qurbon. «But I don’t mind other people celebrating it with a fir tree.»
The issue made headlines last year when a young man in a Father Frost costume was stabbed to death in Dushanbe. The killing came as some religious figures were calling on Tajiks not to celebrate New Year’s, although officials rejected suggestions that the man might have been targeted because he was engaging in «un-Islamic» activities.
The head of the state-backed Islamic Council of Ulema, Saidmukarram Abdulqodirzoda, had urged Tajiks not to celebrate New Year’s, while the official newspaper of the Islamic Renaissance Party advised authorities not to erect the traditional fir tree in the capital.
Dushanbe Mayor Mahmadsaid Ubaidulloev, however, responded by ordering citizens to celebrate in grander fashion than before.
Ubaidulloev is determined to keep the tradition alive in Dushanbe, and other cities are maintaining it as well.
A 22-meter-tall fir tree will adorn a main Dushanbe square, and a 17-meter New Year’s tree has been erected on a square in Tajikistan’s second-biggest city, Khujand.
Ubaidulloev’s office has issued a 10-point decree listing measures the city government is taking to celebrate the New Year’s holiday, which began on December 27 and culminates with fireworks, concerts, and street parties on New Year’s Eve.
Freedom of Speech in Tajikistan December 2013
Freedom of Speech in Tajikistan
December 2013
In December 2013, the Monitoring Service received 32 reports. Fifteen of them describe the factual situation in the media in the light of social, legal and political environment; fifteen reports describe direct violations of rights of media professionals; and two reports describe conflicts and accusations against the media and journalists.
I. POLITICAL, SOCIAL, ADMINISTRATIVE AND LEGAL ENVIRONMENT DEFINING THE FACTUAL SITUATION IN THE MEDIA
1. Statements and actions of public officials defining the factual status of the mass media
26 December
Dunja Mijatovic, the OSCE Representative on Freedom of the Media, Vienna, Austria
The OSCE Representative on Freedom of the Media Ms. Dunja Mijatovic expressed concern over the arrest of Abdurakhim Shukurov, the cameraman of the Ozodagon news agency in Tajikistan.
“It is especially alarming that Shukurov was taken out of the other people being present [at the public demonstration] and arrested, although it was clear that he was on duty as a journalist. I am afraid that this case is an attempt of the law enforcement agencies to discourage other journalists from covering the legal procedure”.
On behalf of OSCE, Mijatovic called on the Tajik law enforcement agencies to immediately release the Ozodagon cameraman.
27 December
Ramazon Rakhimov, minister of interior, Dushanbe
The minister of interior Ramazon Rakhimov received a request from leaders of the Tajik media organizations who asked the public official of a meeting. The minister responded that he is ready to hold a meeting in January 2014.
Heads of media organizations expressed concern over the arrest of Abdurakhim Shukurov, the cameraman of the Ozodagon news agency, as well as over other serious issues related to the freedom of expression.
2. Factual situation in the media and the freedom of speech
6 December
Asia Plus weekly, Dushanbe
The Asia Plus weekly is acknowledged as the best Tajik newspaper of 2013. Olga Tutubalina, the editor of Asia Plus received the award “best journalist of the year”.
These achievements are registered by the Statistical Research Center “Zerkalo”, which conducted an opinion poll among experts – editors of the leading Tajik media and representatives of non-governmental organizations.
10 December
All media, Dushanbe
“In 2013, the NANSMIT monitoring service registered 10 lawsuits against the media in Tajikistan; three of them are considered as politically grounded”, — Nuriddin Karshiboev, chairman of NANSMIT was quoted as saying by Radio Ozodi (Tajik service of Radio Free Europe / Radio Liberty).
Karshiboev voice these figures at the international conference “Media and safety of journalism in Central Asia” held in Dushanbe on 30 November 2013.
Karshiboev stated that the case of Makhmadyusuf Ismoilov, lawsuits against the Asia Plus weekly and its editor Olga Tutubalina, the complaint of the former chairman of the union of writers Askar Khakim against the Samak weekly, and other cases have political reasons behind them on the eve of the presidential elections.
“The major purpose of these moves was to distract attention of the media community from important political developments in the country. The “organizers” have partially achieved their goal – since the disputes around the media involved in litigations have affected the image of these media.
The chairman of NANSMIT advised the journalists involved in media investigations to double-check information they acquire – to avoid complaints from public officials.
18 December
Reporters Without Borders, Paris
The Paris-based organization Reporters Without Borders (RSF) presented its traditional annual report on the freedom of the media in 2013. The document, inter alia, says that the number of abducted journalists has doubled, and the number of journalists killed I the line of duty has slightly decreased compared to 2012.
According to RSF, 87 journalists and bloggers were kidnapped in 2013 (compared to 38 in 2012); 71 journalists and 39 bloggers were killed (compared to 88 and 47 respectively in 2012). It should be noted that the year of 2012 hit the all-time high for the period from 1995 (when RSF published its first annual report) in terms of the killed journalists.
The RSF report says that in 2013, 178 journalists were held in prison in different countries. Among the worst “leaders”, RSF names China, Eritrea, Turkey, Iran and Syria. The number of attacks and intimidations of journalists has increased by 9 percent compared to the previous year (RSF registered 2,160 cases).
“The profession of journalist has not become any safer. The most dangerous place for media professionals in 2013 was Syria – 10 journalists and 35 bloggers were killed in that country”, — the RSF press secretary Astrid Frohloff said. — “Among the countries where journalists don’t feel safe are India, Philippines, Somali and Pakistan.
30 December
Committee to Protect Journalists, NYC
According to the Ney-York-based organization Committee to protect Journalists (CPJ), not less than 70 journalists were killed in the line of duty in 2013; two journalists were killed in Russia.
According to Robert Mahoni, the CJF deputy director, the countries of Middle East have become a “battle field” for media professionals. Twenty nine journalists were killed in Syria, and 10 in Iraq. Three out of the six journalists killed in Egypt were victims of clashes between the public and the police during street demonstrations in August 2013.
Russia is mentioned in the CPJ report as a country were unlawful measures were taken by the law enforcement countries against the journalists investigating cases of corruption, drug trafficking and other dangerous topics.
31 December
All media
At a government meeting chaired by the president Emomali Rakhmon, a decision was made to create the National Mass Media Academy.
According to the Asia Plus news agency, the president launched this idea on 10 March 2012, speaking at the conference on the occasion of the 100-th anniversary of the Tajik national press. Emomali Rakhmon gave the errand to relevant ministries and agencies to prepare relevant documents to facilitate the establishment of the new media institution.
3. Journalists protecting their professional rights
3 December
All media, Dushanbe
The Independent Human Rights center held a two-day seminar “Legal guarantees of access to information” in Dushanbe.
The seminar was attended by representatives of the national coalition of NGOs against tortures in Tajikistan, legal experts, lawyers and media professionals. They discussed the issues of access to publically important information in accordance with international and national standards.
According to Shoira Davlatova, project coordinator, 25 participants from Dushanbe, Khatlon, Sughd and GBAO took part in discussions at the seminar.
26 December
All media, Dushanbe
Heads of the Tajik media organizations issued a joint statement condemning the arrest of Abdurakhim Shukurov, the journalist of the Ozodagon news agency.
“It is especially alarming that such a behavior of law enforcement officers has become routine”, — the statement says.
Shukurov was detained by the police on 25 December when he was filming the incident near the detention center in Dushanbe where people gathered to support Zaid Saidov, the Tajik entrepreneur and the founder of the political party New Tajikistan. Saidov was charged on numerous alleged crimes.
Shukurov told his colleagues-journalists that he was beaten at the police station. He was held for seven days in custody for “public order disturbance”.
On 26 December, a group of media managers sent a request to the minister of interior asking him to organize a meeting and discuss the recent arrest of Ozodagon’s journalist, as well as other incidents and unlawful actions of the law enforcement agencies.
Journalists and media organizations in Sughd province also expressed concern over the arrest of Abdurakhim Shukurov and condemned the actions of the police. At a meeting on 27 December in Khujand, the Sughd journalists suggested the Ozodagon news agency to file a lawsuit against the Ministry of Interior and demand a moral compensation for the incident.
II. VIOLATION OF RIGHTS
2. Unlawful limitation of access to information
6 December
News agency Ozodagon, Dushanbe
Access to the web site of the Ozodagon news agency – www.ozodagon.tj – is frequently blocked by local Internet providers (Beeline, Tajnet, TK Mobile, TojNet, Istera, Telecomm Technology).
Ozodagon’s technical administrator Kayumarsi Ato told the NANSMIT monitoring service that the web site frequently experiences hackers’ attacks.
Managers of Ozodagon repeatedly approached the government-controlled State Communication Service asking about the reasons for the limited access to the web site, but the questions remain unanswered.
2. Denial of access to publically important information
9 December
faraj.tj, Farazh weekly, Dushanbe
The Farazh weekly approached the Ministry of Foreign Affairs with a question about the reasons behind the recent dismissal of Kozidavlat Koimdodov from the position of advisor to the CIS Economic Court in Minsk, Republic of Belarus.
The Foreign Ministry refused to provide comments referring Farazh to the Economic Court of Tajikistan. The Court, in turn, stated that this issue is not under its competence.
12 December
Radio Khatlon, Kurgan-Tube, Khatlon province
Nargis Kasymova, correspondent of Radio Khatlon in the city of Kurgan-Tube approached Marifat Zaripova, head of the Women’s and Family Affairs Committee in Khatlon province with a request for information about social issues. The official demanded a written request signed by the journalist’s supervisor.
Kasymova told the NANSMIT monitoring service that she repeatedly approached Ms. Zaripova, but her requests and questions remained unanswered.
15 December
Khatlon weekly, Kurgan-Tube, Khatlon province
Asalmo Safarova, editor of the Khatlon weekly told the NANSMIT monitoring service about the complaints of journalists who cannot receive information about the activities of the province Education Department.
The editor also noted that the Education Department, the affiliate of the national Ministry of Education failed to conduct its annual press conference in 2013.
25 December
NANSMIT, Dushanbe
The Tajik National Association of Independent Mass Media approached the National Legislation Center under the President’s administration with a request to provide copies of final recommendations and suggestions on the introduction of amendments in the laws regulating the Internet communication in the country.
On 6 December, NANSMIT repeatedly approached the National Center with a request to provide the draft Internet law.
On 25 December, NANSMIT received an official response signed by the deputy director of the Center, Mr. Bakhriddinov. The letter says that “the working group under the Center is continuing the development of the draft law”. In a conversation with NANSMIT, Umrillo Melikov, head of the Center’s unit noted that the documents being developed should be discussed and agreed upon with relevant government agencies, and only after that, the draft law will be presented to the public for further discussions.
3. Freedom of expression
10 December
All media, Dushanbe
Twenty women burst into the office of the Social-democratic Party of Tajikistan (SDPT) during a press conference.
The women started accusing Rakhmatillo Zoirov, the chairman of SDPT of destabilizing the situation in the country and the relation of the Party to the recent public commotion in the city of Khorog, the administrative center of Gorno-Badakhshan Autonomous Oblast (GBAO).
According to the Ozodagon news agency, the women applied to the journalists asking them to ignore Zoirov’s statements.
Zoirov intended to inform the media about his recent trip to the Ukraine and the so-called Euro-Maidan developments. The chairman of SDPT tried to calm down the women; however, the press conference was broken. Journalists were informed that the press conference can be held at another time; and Mr. Zoirov welcomed the media to get in touch with him by я на этоthe telephone if they so desire.
4. Unlawful arrest and beating
25 December
Abdurakhim Shukurov, Ozodagon news agency, Dushanbe
On 25 December, the police arrested Abdurakhim Shukurov, the cameraman of the Ozodagon news agency.
Later, Shukurov told his colleagues from Ozodagon that the police officers were beating him; it was quite obvious – they had witnessed traces of beating on his face.
Shukurov also told his colleagues that the Ismoili Somoni district police officers promised to deliver him to the forensic laboratory – for medical examination – but they did not keep their promise. Eventually, Shukurov received 7 days in custody – allegedly, the journalist was charged for “disturbance of public order”.
On 26 December, commenting on the incident, the deputy chairman of the Ismoili District court in Dushanbe, Temur Khafizov told the Ozodagon news agency that the police has no right to keep a citizen under custody for seven days not having a valid court verdict.
“An individual can be detained only for three days for disturbance of public order”, — he added. The court’s secretariat also confirmed that Shukurov’s arrest was not documentarily registered.
On 26 December, the court’s cassation board ruled to replace the arrest with a fine in the amount of 320 Somoni (about $65).
The Ozodagon journalists expressed concern over the fact that the Ismoili Somoni court’s session was held at night, and the defendant was not provided with a lawyer.
After the release, Shukurov stated that he does not admit the guilt, and he was arrested while performing his professional duties. He added that his rights were violated and he was beaten by the police officers.
The court’s verdict says that Shukurov was found guilty of disturbance of public order. “…by previous concert, he joined the group of Zaid Saidov’s relatives; he was filming [the protest], and disobeyed orders of the police”, — the verdict says.
III. CONFLICTS, VIOLATIONS
1. Extortion and fraud
10 December
Makhmadyusuf Ismoilov, freelance journalist, Sughd province)
The lawyer of Makhmadyusuf Ismoilov sent a complaint regarding the verdict of the Sughd province court issued on 28 October.
The Sughd court sentences Ismoilov to 11 years in prison for alleged extortion and fraud. The judicial defense stated repeatedly that the accusations against the defendant are fabricated. Ismoilov criticized the province administration in his publications accusing officials of corruption and fraud.
2. Protection of honor, dignity and business reputation, moral compensation
12 December
Mamadsho Ilolov, former president of the Academy of Sciences, Dushanbe
The former president of the Tajik Academy of Sciences Mamadsho Ilolov, on the day of his resignation, told the Faraj news agency www.faraj.tj that he is not going to renounce his claim against the Asia Plus weekly and its editor Olga Tutubalina.
“Although I did not participate in court hearings, I will keep struggling with Asia Plus and will try to prove the existence of the Tajik intelligentsia”. He added that he is not going to attend the court hearings. “We have our lawyer who speaks on behalf of the Academy of Sciences”, — he was quoted as saying.
Last summer, the Academy of Sciences, five government-controlled creative unions and three individuals filed a lawsuit against the weekly and its editor demanding a penalty in the amount of 200 thousand Somoni as compensation for moral damage. In her article, Olga Tutubalina criticized representatives of the Tajik creative unions for the absence of their civil opinion and excessive subservience before the president Emomali Rakhmon.
Additional information on this case is available in the following publication: http://eurasianet.org/node/67986
Tajik National Bank Denies Link With Iranian Businessman
DUSHANBE — Tajikistan’s national bank has denied any cooperation with an Iranian businessman blacklisted by the United States.
A bank spokesman, Abdugaffor Kurbonov, told RFE/RL on December 30 that a document presented by Iranian businessman Babak Morteza Zanjani to the Iranian parliament that purported to establish such a connection is fake.
Last week, a group of Iranian lawmakers also expressed doubts regarding the authenticity of the document, which allegedly showed that $2 billion had been transferred to Iran’s Oil Ministry from the Tajik National Bank.
In April, the U.S. Treasury Department accused Zanjani of operating a network of front companies to help Iran access oil revenues in violation of U.S. sanctions.
The department said the network moved billions of dollars, including tens of millions to a company controlled by Iran’s elite Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC).
Controversial Tajik Tycoon Falls From Grace
December 25, 2013
But after he announced his intention to set up the New Tajikistan party this spring — just months before a carefully managed presidential election — Saidov’s world unraveled.
After he went public with his plans for the new, unregistered, opposition party in March, he was arrested in Dushanbe in May and charged with multiple crimes.
On December 25, Saidov was sentenced to 26 years’ imprisonment after being convicted of financial fraud, polygamy, and sexual relations with a minor.
Saidov’s supporters say the case against him was politically motivated.
Daler Ghufronov, the editor-in-chief of «Elita,» a magazine that focuses on prominent Tajik personalities, believes there can be no doubt that the authorities saw Saidov as a threat.
«Saidov wanted reforms but the government is not ready for reforms, so authorities opted for an easy way out: to eliminate reformists,» he says. » In my opinion, this is the main reason behind Saidov’s arrest.»
Rumors Of Infidelity
For others, however, that would be the convenient conclusion to reach when it comes to the high-profile figure who was no stranger to controversy.
His home life invited scrutiny, and prompted whispers of infidelity.
Among the charges faced by Saidov, who was born without one arm, was that he raped an underage girl and fathered a child with her. Court-ordered DNA tests proved no links between Saidov and the child.
Prosecutors also accused Saidov of simultaneously living with four wives and 10 children that he fathered with them.
Saidov has said he has one legal wife but provides material support for at least two former wives and their children.
The Anticorruption Agency says Saidov’s construction firm — which is involved in high-profile projects in the capital, Dusanbe, — stole more than $8 million from the state. Revenue authorities say Saidov’s construction business owes more than $5 million in unpaid taxes.
So is Saidov an opposition figure who had become too much of a threat to the powers that be?
Not really, according to Dushanbe-based political analyst and author Parviz Mullojonov.
«Saidov has never been a real opposition figure despite his links to the Islamic Revival Party,» he says. «First and foremost, he was a businessman who pursued his commercial interests.»
In 1999, when Tajik authorities and the Islamist-led opposition agreed to form a power-sharing government following the country’s five-year civil war, Saidov was chosen to head the Industry Affairs Committee. The position eventually became a ministerial slot, which Saidov held until 2007.
Worked Well With Rahmon
Although technically he was part of the opposition’s 30-percent share of government posts, he worked well with the authorities, and frequently joined President Rahmon on trips and in meetings.
After his dismissal, his business ventures expanded. These included the «Dushanbe Plaza,» which boasts the tallest building in Tajikistan.
Addressing the idea that Saidov was taken down because of his potential to lead the opposition, Mullojonov points to a competing theory, according to which Saidov honed his image as an opposition figure in order to protect himself from prosecution.
«Some people believe Saidov already knew there were serious threats against him and possibly his business interests,» Mullojonov says. «They say Saidov abruptly announced plans about the [New Tajikistan] party to make the case look politically motivated. But we don’t have any proof to support such a theory.»
Mullojonov suggests that the Tajik government would have been mistaken in seeing Saidov as a threat, or as someone who answered to Russia. (The businessman reportedly visited Moscow shortly before he announced the launching of the New Tajikistan party.)
«He might have political ambitions but he would never go against the government,» he says. «Many people even believed that New Tajikistan actually was a government-backed project to gain support for the administration in regions where people traditionally support the opposition.»
There have been numerous cases in Tajikistan in which successful entrepreneurs lost their businesses after dubious charges were brought against them.
Ghufronov suggests that this is what happened with Saidov as well.
«The authorities are killing two birds with one bullet,» he says. «They are eliminating a political threat and taking over his commercial interests.»